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  • The Week in Trends: 12/17/06

    Author Icon for Patrick

    Categorized as: Ballin Outta Control, Fantasy Basketball, Injuries, Player News, Sleepers
    Posted on: December 18th, 2006

    I’m a little late with this week’s edition of the week in trends, but what it lacks in timeliness, I will make up for in quality. And I promise that you will not have to read about Nate Robinson a single time in this post… Starting now. So, who had the best week ever?

    Name Rank 12/17 Rank 12/10 Change in Rating
    Marvin Williams 141 362 5.6
    Ben Wallace 73 105 1.6
    Tony Allen 197 254 1.5
    Boris Diaw 75 104 1.5
    James Posey 138 182 1.5
    Matt Barnes 115 152 1.4
    Sean May 94 125 1.2
    Gerald Wallace 132 161 1.1
    Kobe Bryant 7 13 1.1
    Al Jefferson 92 115 1.1

    • Ok. Marvin Williams had only played one game prior to last week. But still. Anyone that was patient with Williams through the first month of the season is now being rewarded. His last game saw a 23 point 7 rebound performance with 2 blocks and 2 threes. Go and immediately add Williams to your team if he’s still available in your league.
    • Two Celtics make this week’s list – Tony Allen and Al Jefferson (Jefferson for the second week in a row). With Kendrick Perkins, Wally Szczerbiak, Michael Olowokandi, Theo Ratliff, Ryan Gomes, and the brain of Doc Rivers currently out for the Celtics, Big Al and to a lesser extent Allen are getting their chance to play a significant role on a crappy team. Fantasy Basketblog thinks Jefferson is good enough and smart enough, but I’m not quite as excited. I would wait to see what Doc Rivers does with playing time once everyone is healthy before buying high on Jefferson.
    • Nels already discussed Big Ben’s return to domination sans headband. Averaging 19 rebounds a game on the week is pretty good, it’s kind of like sleeping with 15,000 women. The only person not impressed is Wilt Chamberlain.
    • What does Boris Diaw bring to the Suns? How about a little triple-double action? And bravo if you bought low on Diaw recently. You might want to think about quitting your job and becoming a day trader.
    • Hey – look who showed up on this week’s list! Just one week after selling him out, Gerald Wallace starts to make some noise with a 31 point game on the 16th. There are two ways to look at this game. One, he’s finally getting healthy after hurting himself at the start of the season (his 3 blocks in that game was the first time all season he’s had over 1 in a game). Or, two, this big game came after Sean May left with an injury and against a Celtics team that found a way to get Brian Scalabrine 40 minutes. Your call.
    • Usually, when a guy jumps above 100 on the player rater, it gets my attention. Sean May, you get my attention. He’s not current starting for the Bobcats and he left last game after spraining an ankle, but I’d keep an eye on him, especially if you have Gerald Wallace or Emeka Okafor on your team.
    • Two guys not to be too excited about are James Posey and Matt Barnes. Posey got hot one game last week and hit 7 of 11 threes. The rest of the week wasn’t so pretty. Barnes has gotten some attention with Jason Richardson and Troy Murphy being out for the Warriors and put together a really nice double-double on the 12th of December. But like Posey, a little more consistency would be nice. Even with the minutes, there are likely better options in your league than Barnes right now.

    And who has not had the best week ever?

    Name Rank 12/17 Rank 12/10 Change in Rating
    Leandro Barbosa 45 29 -1.6
    Fred Jones 163 116 -1.3
    Dirk Nowitzki 11 4 -1.2
    LaMarcus Aldridge 188 141 -1.1
    Kyle Korver 96 75 -1.1
    Raja Bell 81 64 -1.1
    Michael Redd 18 11 -1.0
    Jose Calderon 199 166 -0.9
    Luke Ridnour 67 52 -0.9
    J.R. Smith 55 45 -0.9

    • Ten minutes is an eternity for fantasy basketball purposes. Leandro Barbosa averaged 37 minutes a game in November and 26 and a half so far in December. And while his points haven’t really declined, his supporting stats are way down. Now that Bell and Diaw have seemed to recover from early season slumps, Barbosa’s stats appear to be suffering.
    • Oh, not so fast. It looks like Raja Bell is having some troubles of his own. Specifically, from the land of 3-point baskets, where he went 5 of 24 last week, including a very easy to calculate 10% (1 for 10) on the 15th. He’s not losing any minutes or taking any fewer threes, so it looks like things could be back to normal for Bell owners once he regains his stroke.
    • Kyle Korver also had a pitiful shooting week, going 16 of 49 from the floor and 3 of 12 from behind the arc. For most players, an injury/suspension to another starter usually means greater opportunity (see Jefferson, Al), but Korver appears to be the type of player that especially benefits from Iverson being out on the court and drawing defenses away from him. Things aren’t so easy when you have to work to get an open shot, especially when you’re white-guy slow.
    • Dirk (Dec 15), Michael Redd (Dec 13), and Luke Ridnour (Dec 15) make this list because of one horrendous game each. They have all bounced back since then, so don’t worry too much about them.
    • A few guys who shouldn’t be on your fantasy team anyway? Fred Jones, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Jose Calderon. Thanks for playing, we have some parting gifts.
    • Looks like J.R. Smith and his owners have bigger problems to worry about than an off week. He’s been suspended for 10 games for a little incident you may have heard about.



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    • http://www.givemetherock.com Nels

      Okay, smarty stat guy… if I shouldn’t have LaMarcus Aldridge on my team… then who? I don’t really need another center immediately, but I’ve got Jermaine O’Neal as one of my starters, so I’d like to have a decent backup in case he goes down. Choices look like this for the Cs available in my 12-team standard categories (TOs included) league:
      Francisco Elson
      Nazr Mohammed
      Etan Thomas (Injured)
      Johan Petro
      Rasho Nesterovic
      Brendan Haywood (good cause he’s in for Thomas?)
      DeSagna Diop
      Fabricio Oberto
      Tony Battie
      Mikki Moore

      Anyone else I should look for if those guys aren’t good enough?

      I’m pretty soft in FT% and TO, so I’d like a C that won’t kill my FT% any further. And most of the FAs don’t have a lot of TOs anyway, but it’s something to consider.

    • http://www.givemetherock.com Patrick

      Okay, you win, you win. That’s an ugly list of centers you presented. If that’s what you’re looking at in your league, then it’s worth hanging onto Aldridge for his potential, because everyone else on that list has got none of it. And here comes the part of my recommendation where I throw out a lot of names to make myself look smart, but the reality is that all these guys are probably taken in your league: Jorge Garbajosa, Kendrick Perkins, and Shareef Abdur-Rahim are all guys I’d take over Aldridge.

      Of those guys you listed, Haywood wins the best plug and play center pretty much by default, but that doesn’t sound like something you really right now. What I personally might do is drop Aldridge and pick up the best player available – like a Rasual Butler – and then if something happens to O’Neal, you can always drop Butler and pick up any of those guys you listed or maybe, ugh, Jeff Foster.

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