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January 18, 2008

Updated Playoff Odds – 1/18/08

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Filed under: Author: Patrick, NBA Playoffs — Patrick @ 1:26 pm



You probably know how it works by now. Here are updated NBA playoff odds using standings through last night.

Team Current Avg Rec Best Rec Worst Rec Win Div Playoffs
Atlantic
Boston Celtics 31-6 60-22 70-12 46-36 99.94% 100.00%
Toronto Raptors 21-18 45-37 57-25 33-49 0.06% 95.97%
New Jersey Nets 18-20 37-45 52-30 24-58 0.00% 35.21%
Philadelphia 76ers 15-24 35-47 47-35 23-59 0.00% 12.50%
New York Knicks 12-26 28-54 41-41 17-65 0.00% 0.27%
Central
Detroit Pistons 29-10 56-26 67-15 44-38 99.81% 100.00%
Cleveland Cavaliers 21-18 42-40 53-29 30-52 0.17% 85.89%
Indiana Pacers 18-22 39-43 52-30 26-56 0.02% 57.34%
Chicago Bulls 15-22 35-47 48-34 23-59 0.00% 22.33%
Milwaukee Bucks 16-23 34-48 47-35 19-63 0.00% 8.70%
Southeast
Orlando Magic 24-17 47-35 57-25 33-49 66.07% 99.15%
Washington Wizards 20-17 44-38 58-24 30-52 24.94% 92.08%
Atlanta Hawks 18-18 41-41 53-29 28-54 8.94% 80.25%
Charlotte Bobcats 15-23 34-48 46-36 21-61 0.05% 10.31%
Miami Heat 8-30 22-60 36-46 11-71 0.00% 0.00%
Southwest
Dallas Mavericks 26-12 51-31 63-19 37-45 42.09% 98.18%
New Orleans Hornets 26-12 51-31 63-19 38-44 31.26% 95.71%
San Antonio Spurs 25-12 51-31 64-18 38-44 26.07% 94.26%
Houston Rockets 20-19 43-39 55-27 32-50 0.58% 34.72%
Memphis Grizzlies 10-28 28-54 42-40 16-66 0.00% 0.00%
Northwest
Denver Nuggets 23-15 47-35 58-24 34-48 41.47% 81.83%
Portland Trailblazers 23-15 47-35 59-23 33-49 35.23% 74.80%
Utah Jazz 22-18 46-36 57-25 34-48 23.30% 63.66%
Seattle Supersonics 9-29 24-58 38-44 11-71 0.00% 0.00%
Minnesota Timberwolves 5-32 16-66 29-53 6-76 0.00% 0.00%
Pacific
Los Angeles Lakers 26-12 52-30 64-18 39-43 54.89% 98.19%
Phoenix Suns 27-12 52-30 63-19 40-42 41.40% 98.37%
Golden State Warriors 23-17 45-37 57-25 32-50 3.71% 59.80%
Sacramento Kings 15-22 35-47 50-32 23-59 0.00% 0.47%
Los Angeles Clippers 11-23 30-52 44-38 18-64 0.00% 0.01%

The team that’s done the most to help their chances of making the playoffs over the past week and a half is… The Utah Jazz, who have gone 4-1 since January 7th. Their odds of making the playoffs has jumped by 13% and it’s now sitting pretty at 64%. The Wizards have seen a nice bump as well. They’ve only gone 3-2, but have increased their chances of winning the division by 10% thanks to the Magic, who had some tough road losses last week on their way to a 2-4 record.

It Ain’t Over Till It’s Over: If my math is correct, one of the teams in the West with over a 50% chance of making the playoffs is going to be left out of the scrum. Is it going to be the Warriors? The Jazz? The Blazers? I guess that’s why they play the games rather than having a computer simulate them.

Put Away the History Books: With their recent losing “streak”, the Celtics chances of winning 70+ games has fallen to 0.04%. For perspective, that’s less of a chance than the Knicks have of making the playoffs this year.