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July 2, 2008

Baron Davis to the Clippers?

According to Drive and Dish who provides no links, but Rotowire via Yahoo also says that on July 9th, The Baron will sign with the Clippers.

Did I mention it’s The Everybody Wants a Point Guard Era?

I’ll be on vacation without internet access on the 9th (I know, poor planning), and since I leave for that vacation tomorrow, I don’t really have time to analyze right now. But, here we go anyway…

As for Davis himself, assuming that his signing is enough for the Clippers to bring back Elton Brand, I see his scoring dropping slightly. He’ll probably still be in the high teens and may even get the 20 PPG he had in 07-08. I’m hoping that with Eric Gordon backing him up on the Clippers he won’t have to play 39 minutes and can preserve his oft-injured body (before 07-08, the last time he played 82 games was in 2001-02). The Clippers offensive attack will be slower than the Run-N-Gun Warriors, but with Brand on the inside, Davis should get open three-point looks and connect on 1.5-2 per game. He’ll still be taking 5 free throws (that just seems standard for him at this point) and making only 70% of them, and if he shoots higher than 44% it will be a blessing from above, or some sort of sign that the Clippers are a team of destiny.

I had Baron at 15 on my initial Point Guard rankings, and I’d say he should still be a solid second round pick. The Point Guard this hurts is Brevin Knight, who I’d already dropped to 163 with the arrival of Eric Gordon. So, unless you’re in a league with more than 12 teams, you probably don’t need to worry about him. Everyone else on the Clippers should be more or less unaffected - we still have to see where Brand and Maggette go, though.

As for the Warriors, they’d better hope Monta Ellis can make the change from SG to PG. He is already listed as just a G on Yahoo, and he played almost 38 minutes per game last season, and the Warriors still plan to run it and gun it (as far as I know), so he should be good for his 3rd round pick status. Will he move up in the draft? Probably. I think people will see this as his opportunity to take over the Warriors. And while it certainly is that, it also increases both the defensive pressure and offensive pressure on him, and takes away a scoring threat, and means he’ll have to play with Kelenna Azubuike by his side, which - no offense - is a downgrade from Baron.

Yes, Ellis is a free agent, but Golden State will give him as much money as he wants if they’re smart. Unless they can get Gilbert Arenas, in which case, well, who knows.

Okay, that’s all I can muster right now. If you have any ideas, advice, questions, etc. go ahead and leave a comment. We’re pretty awesome at responding to comments.