Powered By: Fantasy Knuckleheads
They are rivalries as old as father time himself: Coke vs. Pepsi, Magic vs. Bird, The Magic Hour vs. Arsenio Hall, the Miami Heat Dancers vs. the Clippers Dance Team.
And within the realm of fantasy drafts, the ultimate question comes down to: should you draft for value or should you draft for position? And with absolute certainly, once and for all I can tell you the correct answer to that question is… it depends.
Clearly, positions are important, or we wouldn’t talk about them all the time. But how much attention should you pay to them during a draft? Does it make sense to reach for a center in the early rounds? Rather than pulling an answer out of my ass like usual, I have actual research that kind of makes sense:
More on Ranking Players by Position
Positional Value
The Value of a Position
No need to plow through the old stuff (unless you want to). They suggest that a player’s position should be taken into account when drafting, although it becomes more important as a draft progresses.
In round 1 (and possibly 2), positions don’t really matter very much at all and you can safely focus on drafting the best player available. At the beginning of a draft, players are so good that positional adjustments have little effect on a guy’s overall value (or so the research would have you believe). Basically, someone like LeBron James is so much better than a similar forward you could get in the 2nd round (if such a man exists), that it doesn’t make sense to reach for a center and then grab that forward in the next round.
Starting with round three, positions start to have some say about who you should draft. Centers, being the scarcest position, now start to deserve a bump of a round over where they would normally be taken. Meaning that it would have made sense to draft someone like Rasheed Wallace, who finished last season ranked at #55, in the 4th round rather than the 5th. The basic premise being that that 4th round guard you passed up can be mostly replaced by the 5th round guard who pretty much does the same thing. But hey, if you can still get Rasheed in the 5th, all the better for your team.
Unlike their taller, slower brethren, guards and forwards aren’t fortunate enough to get a similar bump, and guards might actually get a reverse bump of a round or so, because finding a guard in the mid rounds is like finding a pair of breasts at a Playboy party.
By the 8th round or so, the center bump becomes 2 rounds, which basically means grab a center by this point or live with the horrible, horrible consequences. Wait for your center much longer and you’ll end up like me in one particularly deep league – platooning Fabricio Oberto and Sean Williams.
Of course, it is important to use this tip in the context of your general drafting strategy. Identifying undervalued and breakout players and drafting them well below where they should be taken is going to get you much farther than knowing when to reach for a center. But, at least I can say with absolute certainty that you can stop worrying about reaching for that center in the first couple rounds.