Well, there goes that highly ranked Point Guard:
The Warriors announced Wednesday that Ellis will miss at least three months after undergoing surgery on his left ankle.
Scott Sargent at DroppingDimes gets the square for sending me an email about the injury.
Here’s what I say… if Monta is out for 3 months (starting today) that’s Nov. 27th. In Scott’s quote from Marc Stein, they say possibly 4 months. Obviously he’s going to move down the draft board, but if it’s November 27th, he’ll miss about 15 games. That’s 18.29% of the season. For those in H2H leagues, it might not be as big a deal, but for roto leagues, that is a straight 18% decrease in value. If he’s gone till the end of December, it’s around 30 games. Which simple math tells us is 36% of the season. I’m going to assign rough estimates of 64 at the “best case” end and 120 at the “worst case” end. I realize that’s a large spectrum, but right now on the GMTR Big Board I’m being optimistic and leaving him at 64.
As for the rest of the Warriors…
Does this mean it’s time to look at Marco Belinelli again?
No… like Sarge, we’re going to go with Marcus Williams as the top choice for PG while Monta is out. Of course, Kelenna Azubuike, Corey Maggette, and Stephen Jackson all get increased scoring opportunities during the injured one’s absence. I’ve moved them up a few spots on the Big Board, but with several players splitting the potential for only a temporary increase in stats, it’s hard to say if any of them is going to be a big winner here.