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Fantasy Basketball Tip #7: Get a Hold of Your Emotions, Man

Among the many good reasons to play fantasy sports (and there are many), two that would rank highly are “having fun” and “for the competition.”

Joining a fantasy basketball league because you want to have a good time is great. I have no problem if that’s your primary reason for playing. And you don’t need my advice to help you have fun (ok, one piece of advice: Step 1: Add the Miami Heat Dancers, Step 2: Instant Fun).

However, if you’re primary goal is to play to win, then one of the most common mistakes that someone can make is letting their emotions fog up the decision making process. It happens in one of two ways. The first usually occurs when someone first begins playing fantasy basketball. Let’s call it homerism. You know the guys on your hometown team the best, so you’re more likely to draft them and overvalue them compared to the players you don’t know as well (the rest of the league, for example). Suddenly, Paul Pierce is the second best player in the NBA behind KG, and your sleeper list includes Rondo, Kendrick Perkins, Big Baby, Leon Powe, and Antoine Walker.

I’m sure most everyone reading doesn’t have to worry about homerism much anymore. Play fantasy basketball for any length of time and you’ll start to develop a different kind of bias: favoritism. Don’t lie, it happens to us all. We all have guys that for whatever reason. They helped us win a league, we took a chance on them and they delivered, they fit our playing style, or we just like their names. I always end up with Mike Miller on just about every team I’ve ever had for some reason.

There isn’t anything inherently wrong with favoritism, as long as you don’t overrate your boys and can draft them in the right round. Although, I have seen a few people with the problem of drafting their favorite players a little too high. It’s cool if you think Deron Williams is as good or better than Chris Paul and want him on your team, just don’t draft him in the first round if you’re goal is to win your league.

But the flip side of favoritism is the common strategy of avoiding players you hate – and I think is where people get into the most trouble. It’s safe to say that a lot of people do not want someone like Vince Carter, Tracy McGrady or Ron Artest on their team. But these guys do have fantasy value and often times they become good buys in a draft because no one else wants them.

Most people don’t go out of their way to create a “guys I despise and am not going to draft” list before a draft. It’s more of a subconscious decision when we’re on the clock with our next pick. Suddenly, when making the draft decision between Vince Carter and Joe Johnson, we tip the scales towards Johnson and make up some reason why when Carter is much more likely to outperform him this season.

Again, this tip is all about winning at all costs and the best way to get started in that direction is to draft for value. Draft the players everyone hates (including you) if they fall because no one wants them. So, maybe Artest screwed your team back in 2004. Forget about it. If he can help your team, draft him and live with the hurt.

Creating a pre-draft ranked list is also important here, because it will help you stay on track and help you see more clearly on the Carter vs. Johnson type decisions. Pre-draft lists and cheat sheets also give you more time to think objectively about a player and weigh his pros and cons. It is less fun playing this way, no doubt, but it will help you win.

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  • bucko

    I usually have guys I won’t touch, but these guys are typically the guys that are high on the majority of lists out there. For example, in a 9 cat H2H league, most people love Josh Smith, I don’t. His negatives are too high for the second-third round area, which is where I’m sure he’ll go in my draft.

  • seanlb

    sometimes i think “shit these 5-10 guys are all pretty solid. if i can i’ll pick dirk, or another favorite over someone ranked a little better.”
    i think that’s ok, i mean the difference between 3-4 and 7-8 aren’t that great are they?

  • bucko

    seanlb, the later in the draft the less the difference in 3-4 picks will matter. There are certain places where I think value drops. For example, the difference between having the 8th pick or the 11th pick is really big in my opinion. But, the difference between 11 and 14 is almost non-existent.

  • http://www.givemetherock.com Patrick

    Yeah, bucko, good point. I didn’t really mention guys like Josh Smith, who everyone loves so much that it’s not worth reaching for him. Dwight Howard used to be like that, but now everyone has started hating on him to the point where he might be undervalued again.

    And seanlb, another good point. A lot of times there are a few guys who are around the same value, so why not take the guy you like. Nothing wrong with that. I guess the point was not to draft dirk with the 2nd pick cause he’s your favorite player.

  • http://www.givemetherock.com Nels

    @Patrick, time to bring back the Never-On-My-Team Team, I guess, eh?

    @seanlb, this season, the 5-10 guys are all about equal. And bucko is sort of right… after about pick 10, there is a drop to a second tier where you could pick just about anyone and be okay.

  • http://www.givemetherock.com Nels

    Points in the Paint has a list of the Top 50 players for Head-to-Head where Howard is ranked #13. You can get away with that if you’ve already got LeBron and you might as well tank FT% anyway. Even in H2H, though, I’m still a little scared about taking Howard in the second round.

  • http://pointsinthepaint.wordpress.com/ Points in the Paint

    Emotionality has been my single biggest drawback as a a player of fantasy basketball.

    Between 2003-2006, I’ve finally been able to outgrow my “favorites” and “hate” lists. And now that I’m finally gotten to a place where I am ready to draft Kobe, the bum has to go out and decide to NOT have his surgery! Ugh!

    Short term emotional outbursts are what hurt me the most as of now. When my guy goes through a slump of like 3-4 consecutive BAD games, I’m like “WTF? Get the hell of my roster… off to the wires with you!” – but I’m working on my patience, but it’s taking too darn long!

    I just hope my opponents in the GMTR readers league *HINT* will not take advantage of this too much…yeah, right.

  • http://www.givemetherock.com Nels

    PitP, there is something to be said about getting rid of slumping players. I have the opposite problem, in that I usually hang on to guy too long after they’ve stopped producing.

  • http://www.givemetherock.com Patrick

    I am also known for the occasional outburst at the computer screen when examining the daily box scores for my fantasy teams…