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Day 84 of 170: Where the Milwaukee Bucks are the Center of Attention

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Categorized as: Author: Patrick, Fantasy Basketball
Posted on: January 19th, 2010

Line of the Night: OJ Mayo (1.19). Playing the Phoenix Suns will perk up anyone’s fantasy game, especially someone who isn’t afraid to shoot the rock. Mayo took 21 shots in this one – 11 of them threes – and finished with 28 points, 5 threes and 3 steals as Memphis handed the Suns their fourth straight loss, 125-118.

Honorable Mentions: Were you worried that Tyreke Evans (1.01) would get the short shaft once Kevin Martin returned? Nah, instead he exploded for 34 points on 13-20 shooting and added 7 assists, while Martin was only 3 of 9 from the field; Jonny Flynn (1.01) had 29 points and 9 assists in an overtime win against the Sixers; being one of the only healthy players on your team is always a good thing for fantasy purposes and Stephen Curry (0.97) – with 26 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists yesterday – is making the most of his run in Golden State; and Marcus Camby (0.96) owners have to be excited to see his name here. He scored 17 points with 14 boards against the Nets – his first double-digit scoring effort in the month of January.

Waiver Wire Line of the Night: An unusual day in that you have to go all the way down to Carlos Delfino (0.71) and the 19th best line of the night to find a player who is currently available in most fantasy leagues. I think Delfino and his 9% ownership qualify. I touted Delfino just the other say in this spot as an under the radar guy who would stand to benefit from Michael Redd’s absence. While Delfino only scored 11 points in 37 minutes off the bench yesterday, he compensated for the lack of scoring with 10 rebounds, 3 threes, 2 steals and 2 blocks.

Of course, now that the Bucks signed Jerry Stackhouse to replace Michael Redd and his chronically injured knees, Carlos Delfino and more directly, Charlie Bell are going to see a squeeze for minutes. If you listened to the RotoRadio show last night, you know that I’m not a fan of this Stackhouse signing unless we can find a worm hole back to the year 2000. The 35-year old has played in a total of 10 games over the past 2 years and has not played at all this season. The last time he played significant minutes or games for Dallas in 2007-08, he averaged 11 points on 40% shooting with a three a game and not much else. I don’t see how this story has a happy ending for either Stackhouse or the Bucks.

You also need to grab Robin Lopez (0.55) immediately if he’s available in your league. Lopez replaced the slumping Channing Frye (-0.41) as the starting center yesterday for the Suns and responded with a career-high 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 blocks. Meanwhile, Frye only saw 14 minutes on the court and 3 points. Coach Alvin Gentry made the switch to give the slumping Suns a kick in the ass. They still lost the game, but Lopez played well enough to make me worried for Frye owners. Hold onto Frye for now to see how the situation plays out unless you can still trade him to some unknowledgeable owner in your league for decent value.

Suns Grizzlies Basketball

Nate Robinson (0.92) is owned in exactly 50% of leagues, so technically he doesn’t quite qualify as a free agent player. But he’s worth a pickup if he happens to be available in your league as he’s been getting double the play of Chris Duhon right now. In yesterday’s game, Robinson hit 5-9 threes and finished with 27 points in 33 minutes.

The Biggest Loser: On the other hand, if Chris Duhon (-0.65) is currently the main PG for your fantasy team, it is time to look for a different PG. While technically still starting for the Knicks, Duhon only got 20 minutes of run in yesterday’s game and finished with 0 points, 5 assists and 4 turnovers. It’s not exactly a performance that screams “I should be your starter D’Antoni.”

All Eyez on Me: Only two games today:

Toronto (21-20) at Cleveland (31-11) – Six games back from injury and Jose Calderon is still coming off the bench for the Raptors while Jarrett Jack starts at PG. What’s the deal? Well, the problem is that the Raptors have been playing well and winning with Jose Calderon coming off the bench. This rotation has been working for them and why mess with success. But, eventually Calderon will earn his starting spot back, as evidenced by the fact that Jack’s minutes have already fallen into the low 20’s in the Raptors’ last two games after getting 30+ when Calderon first came back. However, the actually switch might not happen until the Raptors go on a losing stretch.

Indiana (14-26) at Miami (20-19) – The Grizzlies may be interested in trading for Miami forward Dorell Wright. The trade would leave the team Keira Knightley-thin at the small forward position, but it would save them $7 million in luxury tax, which a team of Miami’s mediocrity has to seriously consider. If Wright were to get moved, expect to see a lot of Quentin Richardson for the remainder of the season.

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  • grayehazard

    I wonder how the lopez twins would fare against the other twins in the NBA. The Grants, Collins…..

  • http://nelswadycki.com nelswadycki

    You want to talk about not afraid to shoot? Monta Ellis. 39 shots.

    39.

  • http://nelswadycki.com nelswadycki

    If you want to know how competitive the GMTR Reader's leagues are: Robin Lopez was already picked up in all 3 leagues before this post was even published.

  • http://nelswadycki.com nelswadycki

    How come they're all big men? Any Guard twins?

    Off the top of my head, I'd go with the Grants, then the Lopezes.

  • Patrick

    I noticed…

  • Patrick

    http://www.mysanantonio.com/sports/spurs/Baseli…

    I have to admit, the Arsdale's didn't come to the top of my head.

  • The_Thief

    Wow, you really expect Nate to continue to be consistent? Hitting 5-9 treys is a pretty good night, not sure he can keep that up. It seems to me that nights like this from him are an excellent time to start shopping him to other owners. Duhon isn't great, and he's never been a source for points, but don't you think he's better suited for D'Antoni's system (a la Steve Nash)?

    I agree you have to worry if Duhon is your primary point guard, maybe look to play a different fantasy sport. But as your 3rd PG or bottom of the rotation guy, he's an excellent source of dimes. I've recommended him to my readers vs. Nate over at http://www.fantasythief.com mainly because assists are so hard to come by.

  • The_Thief

    Are the GMTR rankings the same ones that show Kevin Martin ranked 3
    overall or do you adjust them for obvious discrepancies regarding the
    average stats of an injured player? Also does GMTR rankings place
    higher weight on more valuable categories like blocks vs. Points?

  • Patrick

    Well, consistency has never been Nate Robinson’s strong suit, but he has shown in the past that at his best he is a much better player (for fantasy) in the Mike D'Antoni system that Chris Duhon (much to D'Antoni’s dismay, I’m sure). Robinson finished last season at number 50 on the GMTR 9-cat player rater, buoyed by his 17 points and 1.7 treys a game over the course of 74 games. On the other hand, Duhon, despite having a career year and playing in 39 minutes a game, finished at 148 on our rater due to all the things he doesn’t do on the court. As long as Robinson is getting run out for 30 minutes a game on a nightly basis, he’ll get dropping 20 points/2 threes more often than not.

    I do agree with you that Duhon is one of the only sources of assists that you might be able to pick up as a free agent, because point guards who drop 6+ assists per game always find a way on someone’s team. Given the fact that the Celtics are apparently interested in Robinson and that the Knicks have absolutely no other options at PG, I do believe Duhon will get back to his 30+ minute a game role and break out of his slump eventually. So if owners out there want to use Duhon to stream some assists in daily leagues, I’m all for that, but to stick him in your lineup on a weekly basis is really, really not a good idea.

  • Patrick

    The GMTR ratings are on a per game basis.

    To calculate the rankings, I use the player average – league average / league standard deviation method employed by other sites, such as basketball monster. It basically creates a set of standardized scores provide equal weight to all categories based on the characteristics of the league.

  • The_Thief

    I figured as much. I'm a quant myself, and use models in a stock
    selection process. I've applied many of the same concepts to
    basketball rankings (and baseball and football). I've also
    statistcally incorporated mods to value certain categories over others
    (to account for the difficulty in getting those stats), and for injury
    risks or years played in the league. Still, I have to comb through the
    results as any quant process will have bugs, and adjust where
    necessary (like Martin or Granger).

    Anyway, I enjoy reading your blog. You've got some great insights, I
    was just taken aback by the Nate Robinson call. Keep up the great work!

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