2010-11 Top 25 Fantasy Point Guards

Categorized as: Author: Patrick, Fantasy Basketball Draft Guide 2010
Posted on: September 24th, 2010

With Tiers! Rankings and positional tiers are based on the GMTR Player Rankings page, which will continue to be updated as we move closer to the regular season.

Tier 1: The Superstar

1. Chris Paul (NOH) – 3 (Average rank of the three GMTR writers)

Say what you want about his ability to stay healthy, but no other point guard can put up across the board insane stats like Paul. With Darren Collison out of the picture, Paul should be primed for a bounce back season.

Tier 2: The Cornerstones

2. Deron Williams (UTA) – 9.7
3. Stephen Curry GSW) – 12.7

Full disclosure: I am not completely on board the Stephen Curry bandwagon, at least not as a mid-first round pick this year. Yes, the kid had one of the greatest fantasy seasons for a rookie in recent memory and is an extremely talented offensive player. He averaged 17.5 points, 5.9 assists and 2.1 threes in 36 minutes a game for the Warriors last year. But the team reloaded with David Lee and is almost guaranteed to be healthier overall this year. And then there is the uncertainly that follow Don Nelson’s apparent departure.

Tier 3: The Building Blocks

4. Jason Kidd (DAL) – 14.7
5. Rajon Rondo (BOS) – 20
6. Chauncey Billups (DEN) – 21.3
7. Steve Nash (PHO) – 24.7
8. Tyreke Evans (SAC) – 29.7

Nels has Kidd ranked high, but I’m knocking him down to the third tier since there is a chance this is finally the year his game falls off a cliff. Bullups and Nash are another set of old guys who are boring to draft, but keep chugging along at a high level year after year. Evans finished #48 on the GMTR rater last season, so we’re predicting a pretty healthy bump his sophomore season.

Tier 4: Upside Potential

9. Mo Williams (CLE) – 41
10. Baron Davis (LAC) – 51
11. Aaron Brooks (HOU) – 52
12. Darren Collison (IND) – 58.3
13. Gilbert Arenas (WAS) – 60.3
14. Raymond Felton (NYK) – 60.7

The heartbroken Mo Williams becomes the “star” of the LeBron-less Cavs team. As long as you’re not looking for assists, he should be in for a career year. Baron Davis finished a surprising 38 on our per-game rater last season by having one of the better assist years in his career. We’ve written about Collison already this summer. I expect him to be overvalued in many drafts for a guy who has not performed over an entire season yet. Either you’re all-in on Arenas or wouldn’t touch him with a 10 foot pole since he’s only played in 47 games total over the past three years. GMTR is apparently in.

Tier 5: The Solid Starters

15. Russell Westbrook (OKC) – 70.3
16. John Wall (WAS) – 74.7
17. Derrick Rose (CHI) – 75.3
18. Devin Harris (NJN) – 79
19. Brandon Jennings (MIL) – 84.7

Every player in this tier is both talented and has at least one significant problem with his fantasy game. I love Westbrook’s assist numbers, but he can’t shoot and turns the ball over a lot. Rose doesn’t shoot threes and his assist numbers actually dropped last year compared to his rookie year. Like some of the other players in this group, Wall will need some time to develop his jump shot. Devin Harris can’t seem to stay healthy for an entire season.

Tier 6: Last Chance for Serviceable PGs

20. Beno Udrih (SAC) – 98.7
21. Jrue Holiday (PHI)
22. Rodney Stuckey (DET) -111.3
23. Jameer Nelson (ORL) – 112.7
24. Mike Conley (MEM) – 119.3
25. D.J. Augustin (CHA) – 119.3
26. Tony Parker (SAN) - 120.3

I’m calling an audible here and pushing Jrue Holiday into this tier (and taking Louis Williams out). We are still working through the team previews and haven’t got to the Sixers yet, so I just noticed that Doug Collins is crushing hard on Holiday. If he can build off his finish to the 2009-10 season, Holiday will be a strong fantasy play this year.

Udrih played so well alongside Evans to end last season that Coach Paul Westphal said he will likely begin the season as a starter. Augustin is also expected to start for the Bobcats thanks to Raymond Felton’s departure. I would like the Tony Parker fan club to note that Erik and I actually have Parker ranked at the top of this tier. But the great play of George Hill last season creates a little uncertainly around the Spurs PG spot.

Other Stuff Like This:

• The GMTR Hot List: Top 10 Fantasy Point Guards (1)
• The Fantasy Basketball All-Stars: Western Conference (1)
• Day 44 of 124: Win More With Bayless (51)
• Day 49 of 170: It ain’t Chinese Algebra (2)
• Friday Linkage (0)
• Effective Percentages (9)
• End of the Year Recap: Top Fantasy Rookies in 2009-10 (2)

Tags: Chauncey Billups, Chris Paul, Darren Collison, Deron Williams, Gilbert arenas, Jason Kidd, Mo Williams, Rajon Rondo, Raymond Felton, Stephen Curry, Steve Nash, Tyreke Evans