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    • 2011-12 Fantasy Basketball Roundtable: Bust Edition

    Author Icon for Nels

    Categorized as: Author: Patrick, Fantasy Basketball, Fantasy Basketball Roundtable
    Posted on: January 3rd, 2012

    Basketball Roundtable

    Last time we discussed the sleepers. This time we’re taking a look at who will be the biggest bust in the 2011-12 fantasy basketball season.

    Patrick got us started:

    The aged Tim Duncan is an obvious choice given that this might be the year that he finally falls off a cliff. But I’ll go out on a limb all by myself and say Jrue Holiday. Everyone loves the guy – from Doug Collins to Sixers fans to fantasy owners – and it’s easy to see why when you watch him make his opponents look silly on the court. But the GMTR statistical projections we did before the start of the season suggest that there is a good chance he doesn’t actually improve this season. That sounds crazy since he’s a 21-year old point guard who is entering his third year in the league, but 6 of his 10 closest player comps going back to the year 1990 actually regressed on a per-36 minute basis in their age-21 seasons. In addition, Holiday already averaged over 35 minutes a game last season, so it’s not like can simply play more minutes this year to improve his overall numbers.

    Statistical projections are only a part of the story though. Holiday is off to a slow start this season (averaging only 2.8 assists to go along with his 15.5 points) due in part to guys like Andre Iguodala and Louis Williams sucking up Sixers’ possessions with a lot of long two point attempts instead of letting Holiday attack the basket. Holiday’s assists will go back up eventually as he’s given more control of the offense, but as long as Iguodala is considered “the man” on this Sixers team, we may have to wait for Holiday to take that huge step forward everyone is expecting.

    For the opinions of Ryan Lester from Lester’s Legends and William from RotoProfessor, check out the full fantasy basketball roundtable post.

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