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  • Day 11 of 124: Blowout City

    Author Icon for Patrick

    Categorized as: Author: Patrick, Injuries, Memphis Grizzlies, Player News
    Posted on: January 5th, 2012

    A ton of great fantasy performances last night, led by…

    Line of the Night: LeBron James (2.62 WARP). With Wade sitting this game out with a sore left foot, James dominated the Pacers to finish with 33 points, 8 rebounds, 13 assists in a 118-83 beat down. James tweaked his ankle in the third quarter after stepping on the foot of Indiana’s Paul George and is day-to-day, but he’s a beast, so you know he’s going to play tonight.

    Honorable Mentions: It’s one of the more tragic fantasy stories of the season so far – our beloved Golden State Warriors STILL have not scored over 100 points in a game this season. Damn you Mark Jackson. Guys like Monta Ellis (2.51) can still go off occasionally like Ellis did against Spurs with 38 points, 4 threes, and 7 assists, but we can no longer count on the Warriors to deliver night after night like in the past

    And in their first game post Manu injury, Tim Duncan (2.25) played a season high 31 minutes for the Spurs and came through big time with 15 points in the game, adding 11 rebounds, 3 steals, 3 blocks. He might not be able to put up these types of numbers every game, but it looks like the Ginobili injury is going to force the Spurs to lean on Duncan a lot more than they probably want to.

    Andrea Bargnani (2.42) dropped 31 points and grabbed 7 rebounds in a blowout 92-77 win over the Cavs. Bargs has started the season on fire and is now averaging 24 points a game on 57% shooting from the floor. How brutal were the Cavs in this one? Anderson Varejao (0.87) had their best fantasy line (at #52 on the night) and he scored 3 points! Ok, he did have 13 boards and 3 steals. Kyrie Irving (-0.15) was 3-13 from the floor in this game.

    ***

    Nice to see Jrue Holiday (2.36) not only scoring (he had 23 points) but also dishing out 8 assists in a win over the Hornets. With Andre Iguodala (-0.40) having a bad shooting night and only 2-10 from the field, Evan Turner (1.17) picked up the scoring slack with 21 points on 8-12 shooting, adding 6 rebounds and 4 assists. For the Hornets, Eric Gordon (1.23) returned last missing 4 games with a knee injury to score 22, while Jarrett Jack (1.06) finished with 19 points and 11 assists.

    Well, the DeMarcus Cousins (2.35) crisis blew over quickly. Cousins came off the Kings’ bench for the second straight game and fouled out in 25 minutes in a blowout loss to the Nuggets. But he was beastly in that limited time, scoring 26 points on 9-12 shooting, adding 3 steals and 3 blocks. Al Harrington (1.22) of all people led the charge for Denver with 15 points and 5 boards in only 20 minutes of run. +1 for Erik on the Harrington call in our podcast.

    Call them Shock and Awe. Dwight Howard (1.36) had a crazy 28 points, 20 rebounds and 3 blocks as the Magic blew out the Wizards 103-85. His WARP score would have been much higher if not for the equally destructive 6-14 shooting from the free throw line. And Howard’s new wingman, Ryan Anderson (2.09) scored 23 points and added 15 rebounds in the game. In case your wondering where all these rebounds came from, the Wizards shot 37% from the floor as a team, although RAD (Ryan and Dwight) did combine for 12 offensive rebounds as well. Where the boxouts, Washington?

    Amare Stoudemire (1.68) was back in the lineup for the Knicks and finished with a strong 25 and 12 (in 41 minutes!). 41 minutes for Amare? You’re crazy Mike D’Antoni. Carmelo Anthony (2.20) scored 32 points adding 6 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 steals. But despite those good games the Knicks lost anyway to the Bobcats 118-110 and allowed Gerald Henderson (1.76) – 24 points and 4 steals – and Boris Diaw (1.75) – 27 points, 6 assists – to run all over them.

    And Chris Paul (2.12) had 20 points and 10 assists in less than 30 minutes on the court as the Clippers blew out the Rockets 117-89. We’ve got to be having way more blow out games this season than normal, right?

    Injury of the Night: As I’m sure you’ve heard by now, Zach Randolph has a tear in his MCL and is expected to miss the next 6-8 weeks as he recovers from the injury. In response, the Grizzlies quickly traded away second-year player Xavier Henry for the career underachieving Marreese Speights, who looks like he’ll compete with Dante Cunningham for time at the PF while Randolph is out. This is certainly bad news for Randolph owners (a group to which I belong). Stash him for now provided you’ve got the extra bench spot to spare.

    In their second game without Randolph, new starter Cunningham (-0.76) had a pathetic 2 points and 3 rebounds. At least he’s quickly showing us he’s not worth owning in any normal sized league. My boy Tony Allen (1.98) led all scorers with 20 points in the game and played a season high 32 minutes.

    Since we’ve seen what little Cunningham can do over two games, I’d recommend Speights as a speculative add provided you don’t have to drop someone good to get him. His per-30 minute numbers are solid – over 14 points, 7 boards and a block a game – but his career foul rate is equally impressive at 4.4 per 30 minutes, so it could be a challenge for him to stay on the court.

    Waiver Wire Line of the Night: Rookie Iman Shumpert (2.18) made a quick recovery for the Knicks after missing 4 games with a knee injury, scoring 18 points, and adding 4 threes, 5 rebounds, and 2 steals. Meanwhile, starter Landry Fields (-0.75) had 5 points and 5 rebounds in only 25 minutes on the court. Shumpert is worth an add simply because the Knicks are the new Golden Ticket as far as fantasy goes, but he’s a rookie and that usually means inconsistency. His biggest fantasy contribution this season will probably be to ruin whatever confidence remains on the fragile Fields.

    Pick Up Lines: Chris Andersen (1.67). We have our first Birdman sighting of the season. With Nene sitting out the Nuggets game with a heel strain (sounds painful), Anderson got 18 minutes of run off the bench and did his usual super intense thing with 8 points, 7 rebounds, 3 steals, and 3 blocks. Timofey Mozgov (-0.11) started at center in the game and finished with 11 points, 3 boards and a block. These guys only have value as long as Nene is out (he’s currently day-to-day).

    Looks like there is still a little bit of time to get on the Richard Jefferson (1.50) train if you haven’t already. With Manu out, Jefferson scored 17 points and hit 5 threes in 38 minutes. He’s available in about 60% of Yahoo leagues at the moment and should be picked up in all leagues while Manu is out.

    Mario Chalmers (1.23) continues to fight for his right to point guard over Norris Cole. Playing 30 minutes (to Cole’s 21), Chalmers scored 14 points and added 6 rebounds. More than 3 assists would be nice from a PG, but I guess if you’re in a deep league and punting that category, Chalmers makes a decent pickup.

    As mentioned above, Evan Turner (1.17) scored a season high 21 points off the bench for the Sixers. Jodie Meeks has all but become invisible this season, which is good news for Turner, but he’s still battling with Louis Williams and the rest of the Sixers’ starters for shots. It’s going to be tough for him to contribute consistently.

    James Jones (1.15) scored 14 points on 4-8 threes for the Heat in a spot start for Dwyane Wade. He only has value if Wade and LeBron were to get sucked through a worm hole never to be seen from again, and even then, he’d have limited value as a three point specialist.

    Nice game from Taj Gibson (0.93) off the bench for the Bulls. He finished with 12 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 blocks in 20 minutes against Detroit. The problem is that 20 minutes seems to be about his ceiling on a game-to-game basis and it’s really tough to have consistent fantasy value playing so little. Leave him for deep leagues unless the Booz were to get hurt.

    Quick Hits: Byron Mullens (0.90) had 16 points and 5 boards in 20 minutes for the Bobcats. It came against the Knicks, so don’t read too much into it. D.J. White (0.73) had another nice performance with 10 points and 9 boards and is available in 90% of leagues if you need a big. Shelden Williams (0.71) went for 8 and 9 filling in for the injured Kris Humphries and has the potential to posterize himself at any moment. Bonus.

    Biggest Loser: Dorell Wright (0.05). Wow, just wow. Wright scored 0 points for the second game in a row, playing 27 minutes and not doing too much of anything on the court against the Spurs. Amazingly, his WARP score isn’t all that bad, possibly due to the 2 steals, 3 assists and 0 TOs. But, he’s now shooting 29% from the floor this season and is 3-21 from three.

    Despite all of this, I still wouldn’t drop him just yet. We all saw how good Wright could be last season – and while the Warriors are a much different team this year – it’s impossible for someone to shoot this badly all year. It’s a painful one Wright owners, but sit tight a little longer. And non-owners, this is the time to buy Wright for 10 cents on the dollar.

    In terms of other straight-up horrible games, Ben Gordon (-0.90) scored 7 points on 2-10 shooting; while Michael Beasley (-0.99) did double-double with 11 points and 10 rebounds, he also turned the ball over 5 times and shot 5-16 from the field.

    ***

    Daily rankings and stats come from the GMTR H2H Player Rater (beta version). They are based on the stat Wins Above Replacement Player (WARP) an estimate of the number of wins a player produces per week in H2H leagues over a replacement (waiver wire) player.

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    • BradM

      Afflalo and Dorrell Wright are absolutely killing me.  Having a hard time staying patient with these two

    • David

      Also, odom had a decent game tonight. I hope he picks it up today as well because he has been horrible so far. My honorable mention go to curry as he rolled his ankle for the third time in five games. 

    • Dunkindonuts

      Should I drop Delfino or Dudley for Brandon Rush?

    • Jim

      In what order would you add these players?  12-team/9-cat.  OJ Mayo, Tony Allen, Iman Shumpert

    • Lets Get Tropical

      Dorell,

      I humbly grovel for absolution.  Had no idea your 0-4 in 26 minutes the other night was something of a high water mark.  Can you forgive me?

    • http://nelswadycki.com nelswadycki

      I would consider picking up Rush for Dudley, but I think that Patrick and Erik might stage a coup if I did that. I’d also consider dumping Delfino, but just because I had him last year and got fed up pretty quickly after his short run of awesome games was over. His threes and steals are very nice though, and not easy to pick up from any old free agent, so I’d hang on to him for now.

    • http://nelswadycki.com nelswadycki

      According to the Player Rater (http://rater.givemetherock.com/): Shumpert, Allen, Mayo. Of course, in a 12×13 league, Allen and Mayo aren’t worth adding since they’re not in the Top 156 according to the rater. If you have a Small Ball team (which seems likely given the targets), then you can throw out a bunch of Big Ball only type guys from the ratings and then Allen might sneak in there, but Shumpert is still the top pick of those three.

    • http://nelswadycki.com nelswadycki

      I was amazed at the number of blowouts last night when I scanned the box scores. That’s probably to be expected with the way the season is this year, but one of them, the Bulls +16 over the Pistons, was actually the 3rd game in 4 days for the Bulls and the SEGABABA after a furious comeback over the Hawks, so it seems like it should have been a blowout going the other way… but then, they were playing the Pistons. Boom, Roasted.

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      Man… why did I draft Stephen Curry? I got him for what I thought was a steal at 16… not worth the indigestion he’s caused already… 

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      At least Afflalo’s numbers kind of resemble what he did last season and seem to indicate that he just needs to get on track… With Wright, I’m starting to think he was actually replaced by an alien or a robot (or a secret twin brother?) last season and now the alien has returned home, or the robot has broken down, or his twin brother went back to working for the CIA leaving us with the real Dorrell Wright.

    • Blowed Out

      Agreed, pretty unexciting night for LP watchers too – tough to find a close game to keep it locked on.

      On another note, I need to make a quick decision here in whether to drop Perkins for Speights.  My initial thoughts are yes, but what do you all think?

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      My vote would be for Allen > Shumpert > Mayo, but I’m a crazy Tony Allen stalker who likes his steal numbers. I think most people would go Shumpert > Allen > Mayo at this point.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I agree. Speights could end up being a bust, but you’re not missing out on much by dropping Perk, who doesn’t have much fantasy value.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Just wait until you see what he has in store for an encore performance on Friday. He’s actually going to score negative points by putting the ball in his own basket.

      Oh wait, he’d miss that shot anyway.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      I might consider dropping one of those guys for Rush IF Curry were to miss a bunch of games. Other than that though, I do personally like Delfino and Dudley better than Rush. I wish they were all more consistent though.

    • ray

      quando voce diz que é melhor em deeper leagues Chalmers ao inves do Cole, eu estou fazendo mal tendo o Cole no meu time em uma liga 12p h2h  w daily changes?

      obrigado pelas respostas, e muito bom o site e comentarios e que continue assim

    • ray

      when you say that is best in deeper leagues Chalmers instead of Cole, I’m doing wrong withCole on my team in a league h2h 12p w  daily changes?

      Thanks for the answers, and very good comments and the site and it stays that way(sorry for the post in another language)

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Erik

      What that means is that there is, theoretically and ideally someone available in the FA pool who is superior to Cole in standard (12-man) leagues. As of now, based on our Player rater it is “better” to be currently owning Chalmers instead of Cole. Why? Chalmers is starting and has to actually start off with a bad game before Cole can surpass him in playing time in the first half of a game. IF Chalmers starts off well, then Cole will have reserve player’s minutes for most of the game.

    • David

      haha I grabbed curry pretty late as well i think on early third round pick… anyways someone offered me curry for jrue holliday or paul pierce. Do you give that a go? Or do you trust curry’s jelly ankle?

    • Anonymous

      hi Erik and Patrick!
      need a quick advice on this one. I’m itching to grab Conley from FA to replace Steph Jack.

      My current lineup:
      Collison
      George
      Calderon
      Jefferson
      LBJ
      Steph Jack
      Camby
      Dirk
      Matthews
      Landry
      D-Jordan
      Irving

      League is yahoo 12×12(3BN) H2H – daily using default cats.

      My thought is although I’ll be loaded with PGs, I get to strengthen my FT%, ASTS, and STL and at the same time eliminating myself the headache of watching Capt Jack throw the rock on the wrong places.

      Is this a smart move or should I still wait a little longer for Capt. Jack to come to his senses?

      Also, will gladly welcome any suggestions that you think can further improve my team. thanks!

      Looking forward for your insights on this one. cheers!

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      No, I don’t really trust his ankle at all. He is going to miss tonight’s game because, according to Curry, his sprained right ankle “didn’t respond as well as I wanted.”

      According to the Inside the Warriors blog:

      He said he doesn’t know yet how long he will be out. Curry said he
      will confer with all the doctors involved on Thursday — including Bob
      Anderson of OrthoCarolina, the foot and ankle specialist who did Curry’s
      surgery in May — to determine the next course of action.

      He said he will “see if there is some kind of measurable level I need
      to be at before I return to play. It could be sooner than later. …
      Making sure there’s some kind of goal we need to get to.”

      http://www.ibabuzz.com/warriors/2012/01/05/stephen-curry-out-indefinitely-with-ankle-injury/

      All of that sounds very bad. So those are trades you have to make at this point if they are still on the table.

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      I don’t know about Holiday, but I’d take Pierce.

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      Well, you didn’t ask me, but I’d do that. Load up on the Small Ball stats and with daily changes more PGs will help you (if you can get them all in on a daily basis).

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Yeah, I’d run out now and grab Conley now in place of S-Jax.Conley is a potential top-50 player, while Jackson is on the down slope of his career. I’ll give your team the full diagnosis when I get a few minutes.

    • Anonymous

      sorry about that Nels :) . that was a good tip..hats off..thanks! just did it btw :)

    • Anonymous

      Thanks Patrick! looking forward for your full diagnosis :)

    • David

      yeah i really didnt trust his ankle either. traded him yesterday night. Curry and blatch for noah and holiday. Thought that ended up very well for me.

    • http://nelswadycki.com/ Nels

      Yeah, that’s probably as good as you can do now.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      So here is what I have your team at in terms of stats in the average week. 

      pts 652
      reb 285
      ast 167
      stl 45
      blk 42
      to 97
      3pm 37
      fgp 47%
      ftp 76%

      And here is what the typical opponent is going to look like. 

      pts 622
      reb 254
      ast 135
      stl 48
      blk 32
      to 83
      3pm 39
      fgp 46%
      ftp 76%

      So, as you expected, even with S-Jax your team is very strong in assists, as well as points, boards, and blocks. Other than TOs, your team doesn’t appear to have any real weaknesses. 

      And here is what your team would look like swapping out Jackson for Conley. 

      pts 649
      reb 281
      ast 181
      stl 48
      blk 42
      to 92
      3pm 35
      fgp 48%
      ftp 76%

      Conley is a bit redundant with your team strengths. Adding him gives you even more assists, which you were probably winning most every week already. You do however, pick up a few more steals and lose some TOs and improve your FG% by making the move. All for the cost of a couple threes and a few points a week. Conley isn’t a great FT shooter, so the move actually doesn’t improve your FT% any. But still it’s a good move to add Conley and gives you the opportunity to move one of your assist guys if you find you need to. 

    • Anonymous

      thanks patrick! I’ll monitor this combination and probably make 1 of my PG available for trade in return for an efficient SF/3s guy to mitigate that weakness in 3s.