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  • Day 18 of 124: Where John Lucas Does his Best Derrick Rose Impersonation

    Author Icon for Patrick

    Categorized as: Author: Patrick, Ballin Outta Control, Injuries, Player News
    Posted on: January 12th, 2012

    Line of the Night: Kevin Durant (2.86). On a night where Old Man Kobe dropped 40 again, it was actually Durant’s 29 points on 11-17 shooting, with 10 rebounds, 3 threes and 4 blocks that was the best of the night for fantasy owners. Just an amazing performance from Durant considering this was the Thunder’s fifth game in six days. And fifth win in six days.

    Honorable Mentions: Chris Paul (2.61) scored 27 points, adding 6 rebounds, 11 assists and 3 steals as the Clippers beat the Heat in OT. DeAndre Jordan (1.41) decided that no one was going to invade his airspace as he blocked 6 shots and grabbed 11 boards in the game. Jordan is now averaging an insane 3.4 blocks a game this season.

    LeBron James (-0.32) did have 23 points, 13 boards and 7 assists in the game, but his 37% shooting from the floor and 53% from the line directly led to the Heat loss. Mario Chalmers (1.39) continues to play like he’s a good PG – he had 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists in the game and has quickly made Norris Cole (-1.27) an afterthought. And good news for Dwyane Wade (0.68) owners – he was back in the lineup last night and finished with 17 points on… 6-17 shooting. The good news is that he’s back, not the shooting.

    ***

    As mentioned above, Kobe Bryant (2.32) dropped 40 points for the second night in a row, adding 8 rebounds and 4 assists as the Lakers beat Utah in OT. He wants to prove he’s still got a little gas in the tank apparently. Al Jefferson couldn’t get his shot to fall in this game (he was 5-17 from the floor), so it was actually Paul Millsap (1.70) who led the Jazz with 29 points and 9 boards.

    Really, there were a ton of good fantasy performances last night this could go on all day – Anthony Morrow (2.04) hit 5 threes on his way 23 points in a game where Denver and New Jersey combined to score 238 points. Morrow is officially warmed-up it seems, although he’s one of the only healthy wings on the Nets at the moment. Danilo Gallinari (2.03) scored 22 points on 7-11 shooting in the game.

    Roy Hibbert (1.86) scored 12 points with 11 rebounds and 4 blocks against a Hawks team that lost Al Horford 6 minutes in to a left shoulder strain. If Horford can’t go by their next game, Zaza Pachulia is your new starting center Hawks fans! Lockout shortened NBA basketball, baby!

    Tyreke Evans (1.85) scored 29 points and locked up the FT% category for his owners by going 14-14 from the line in a win over Toronto. Meanwhile DeMarcus Cousins (1.21) had 21 and 19 in the game and didn’t kill you in the FT% category by going 9-11 from the line. Jose Calderon (1.73) continues to impress. He had 13 points and 10 assists in the game.

    Finally, the Blazers lost to the Magic 107-104, but the won the fantasy battle thanks to LaMarcus Aldridge (1.89), who had 23 points, 8 rebounds and 2 steals and Jamal Crawford (1.74) who came off the bench for near season high 30 minutes to score 24 points with 5 assists. Crawford owners, do yourself a favor and don’t look at his game log this season. It will depress.

    Let’s move onto the good stuff…

    Waiver Wire Line of the Night: Jordan Farmar (2.38). I thought Deron Williams might have sat out last night for the Nets. No, Farmar just managed to score a game-high 26 points on 6-8 from three in less than 23 minutes off the bench in a crazy paced 123-115 game against the Nuggets. The Nets did trail big in this game (surprised?), giving Farmar more run than normal. Unless D-Will were to get hurt, it’s hard to imagine Farmar can maintain much of any fantasy value, even with the rest of the team doing their best impersonation of a MASH unit.

    Pick Up Lines: In that same Nuggets/Nets game, the temptress known as Rudy Fernandez (2.28) scored 15 points, adding 5 rebounds, 8 assists, and 4 steals. Unlike Farmar, Fernandez is seeing a consistent 27-28 minutes a game and he’s shooting over 50% from the floor over his last 4 games. Grab him and ride out the hot streak if you’re looking for a guard.

    Isaiah Thomas (1.62) – the extra “a” is so people don’t accuse him of running the Knicks into the ground – scored 20 points and added 6 assists off the bench for the Kings. The 5 foot 8 inch Thomas has gotten extra run the past two games because Marcus Thornton is day-to-day with a thigh injury. Jimmer Fredette (-0.39) is actually starting in place of Thornton, but was 3-10 the floor and didn’t do much else on the court. I’m guessing the fact that Thomas was guarded by Jose Calderon and Anthony Carter might have had something to do with this performance. Plus Thornton is expected back soon, so leave Thomas on waivers.

    One PG who did sit out last night was Derrick Rose, who was wearing a walking boot yesterday after injuring his big toe on Tuesday. No Rose, no problem. The Bulls’ third string PG John Lucas (1.25) stepped up and nearly triple-doubled with 25 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists in 46 minutes on the count. Lucas clearly doesn’t lack in confidence – he jacked up a team high 28 shots in the game and was 1-7 from three. Any fantasy value that Lucas has is tied to Rose and a lesser extent C.J. Watson, both of whom are expected back soon if not by the Bulls next game. Still, Rose owners might want to protect themselves just in case and grab Lucas as an insurance policy.

    Stop reading this and immediately grab Chandler Parsons (1.14) if he still happens to be available in your league (and he’s only owned in 6% of Yahoo leagues at the moment). Parsons was only 4-10 from the floor against the Spurs for 8 points, but he filled up the boxscore in other ways with 6 rebounds, 4 assists and 3 steals. As I mentioned in the comments of yesterday’s post, the scoring is going to be hit or miss for Parsons (get it), but he’s the type of player who is going to contribute in most of the other categories, including threes, steals and boards.

    Quick Hits: Leandro Barbosa (1.03) saw 29 minutes off the bench for Toronto and finished with 24 points on 11-18 shooting. I’m not a huge fan of Barbosa as a mostly empty points guy, but his minutes are creeping up on a Raptors’ team that could clearly use some scoring. He’s worth a look if you need some points.

    Corey Brewer (1.18) scored 19 points in only 16 minutes on the court for Denver by going 7-8 from the field and 3-3 from three. That’s an impressive display of per-minute scoring that won’t happen again anytime soon.

    Omer Asik (0.79) had 14 rebounds for the Bulls, no doubt assisted by the Wizards’ inability to shoot straight. He’s getting 20+ minutes a game for the Bulls and is worth a look in deep leagues, but mostly he’s freaking out Noah owners who are seeing a lot of Noah on the Bulls’ bench in the fourth quarter of games.

    Trevor Booker (0.26) saw 31 minutes in a start for the Wizards and finished with 8 points, 10 boards and a block. Booker isn’t going to light it up, but he can contribute to fantasy teams just based on the sheer number of minutes he’s getting as long as Andray Blatche remains out.

    Sound the Shaking Things Up Alarm: One of the early coaching moves this season is to rearrange your underperforming starting lineup. First it was the Wizards, then possibly the Wolves, now it’s Gregg Popovich’s turn. Not satisfied with the defense of the Spurs this season Pop pushed Gary Neal to the bench and started the rookie Kawhi Leonard (0.22) at SG. It worked, because the Spurs’ won and Leonard finished with 11 points, 8 boards and a couple blocked shots in 38 minutes on the court. According to Pop, “He’s playing defense. That’s why he’s starting.” Leonard is worth an add in all leagues if he can stay in the starting lineup while Manu is out. Gary Neal is now droppable.

    Biggest Loser: One of the Wizards many problems is that Nick Young (-1.12) is taking over 13 shots a game for the team. The Nick Young who is shooting 38% from the floor this season and has shot 43% for his career. Young was 2-11 from the floor against the Bulls and finished with 5 points, 3 rebounds and 0 assists for a Wizards team that could only muster 64 points on 31% shooting. 31%! John Wall (-0.53) was also 4-13 in that game, but at least he had 8 assists.

    If you decided to start Carlos Boozer (-0.70) last night because he had a favorable matchup against the Wizards, well, I’m sorry to say you chose wrong. With John Lucas sucking up shot attempts like a Hoover vacuum, Boozer was only 2-7 from the floor and finished with 4 points and 6 rebounds.

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    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      As far as your team goes, here is what I project you’ll average in any given week when Eric Gordon is healthy (assuming you’re in a daily changes league)

      pts 733
      reb 254
      ast 173
      stl 61
      blk 31
      to 105
      3pm 29
      fgp 46%
      ftp 76%

      and here is what the average team in your league will do:

      pts 611
      reb 257
      ast 133
      stl 51
      blk 31
      to 87
      3pm 39
      fgp 45%
      ftp 76%

      Looks like you’re in really good shape overall. Pluses in points, assists and steals. Boards, blocks and percentages are a toss-up. The only categories I see you having trouble in are TOs and threes. You certainly have the points to spare if you wanted to part with Gordon or assists if you wanted to ship Wall. Alternatively, you could look to stay small and try to improve your three and FT% categories. Either direction could work, although if Gordon’s injury history bothers you, then you might as well move him.  

      In terms of the wire, although I do think that Hayward and Williams could be expendable, I would not drop them for any of the guys you mentioned. Maybe Zaza if he’s available now that Horford is done for the year. 

    • Zee

      Thanks Patrick. A little painful watching Monroe go 32-16 tonight but seems like it was a good move nonetheless!

    • Chris

      Drop Nick Young for Michael Redd?
      My squad (Currently 3 games ahead in first place 12 team 9 cat h2h Daily Lineups):
      Steph Curry
      Pau Gasol
      Paul Peirce
      Joakim Noah
      Serge Ibaka
      Elton Brand
      J Rich
      Andre Miller
      Caron Butler
      Paul Milsap
      Al Harrington
      Spencer Hawes
      Nick Young’
      Iman Shumpert

      Also, any other advice is greatly appreciated.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Wow, kudos to you for being in first while dealing with the Stephen Curry injury and getting some weak performances from guys like Ibaka, Brand and Noah. Anyway, here is what I’ve current got you at on a weekly basis (assuming Curry is playing):

      pts 664
      reb 296
      ast 127
      stl 48
      blk 41
      to 85
      3pm 39
      fgp 48%
      ftp 77%

      And here is your average opponent for the week:

      pts 647
      reb 266
      ast 142
      stl 52
      blk 33
      to 91
      3pm 41
      fgp 46%
      ftp 76%

      Not surprisingly, you’re team is playing big with strengths in points, boards, blocks, TOs and the percentages. Assists looks to be your weakest category, but even that’s not too bad. I think you’re in a good place overall with your team and should have to make any major moves. That being said, Andre Miller is a guy who is probably not that relevant to your team at the moment. You could fill his spot with a three point shooter to strengthen your position in that category. 

      Unfortunately though, looks like you may lose the services of J-Rich for a while. He’s getting an MRI done after spraining his knee last night. You’ll have to wait and see how bad it is for him. In terms of Redd, there is probably a 5% chance he returns to something of his former self and about a 95% chance he blows out his knee in a week. But, it sounds like he might be starting for the Suns, so I’d go ahead and speculation grab him. Young’s only contribution to you team is points and he does so while killing your FG%, so I’d be more than happy to kick him to the curb.

    • Chris

      Thanks Patrick. I have some tough matchups coming up so I was thinking about making some changes. What do you think about this deal?
      I get: Iggy, henderson, humphries
      I give: Curry and Ibaka

      The only reason I’m even considering it is I have been surviving without much from Curry and with his weak ankles I figure let someone else have the headache.

    • http://givemetherock.com/ Patrick

      Well, there are two components to the trade. Even if you consider Iggy equal value to Curry on a per game basis, your still likely losing some value by giving up Ibaka for Humphries.

      At the same time, this trade will improve the risk profile of your team for lack of a better term. Sounds like Curry is going to take things slowly this time instead of rushing back to the court, so expect some additional missed games this upcoming week. If you can’t take the waiting game anymore, then I say make the trade and at least get rid of the risk that goes along with Curry. 

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