Hey I need some advice again, and you guys have been great. I am currently being offered a trade of Conley for Hawes straight up, and I wanted to see what the impacts of it would be. I am currently running with mainly a small ball team in a 9 cat league, with dds replacing tos. My current roster is:

PG: Teague, Shumpert, Conley, Lowry
SG: Evans, J Johnson, Robinson
SF: Parsons, G Wallace, Anthony
PF: Blair, Haslem
C: Bynum, Dalembert, Varejao

Im wondering how a Conley for Hawes trade would affect my team overall, as right now I am focusing on winning in assists, steals, ft%, and im not doing bad in rebounding or blocks.

 whats up guys 14 team h2h 9 cat daily changes..picked up mike miller which makes marvin williams more expendable..should i drop marvin and pick up biyombo

I just wanted to do a double check here to see if I convinced my leaguemate to make a good trade. 14 team H2H 9 Category league. 

He traded Paul Millsap, Hedo Turkoglu, and Wesley Matthews 

for 

Rudy Gay, Serge Ibaka, Kemba Walker

Or should I go ahead and pick up Gustavo Ayon, he’s been doing alright too. I could afford to drop two players I’m not too attached to so I’m pretty open.

Assuming standard categories and using this year’s stats so far, that’s not a great trade. He gains a ton in blocks and a little bit in rebounds, but loses in every other category. Because Gay and Walker are shooting so poorly this year, they more than negate Ibaka’s high FG%, and none of those three are shooting free throws well so far. Even with Ibaka at less than 1 TO, his overall turnovers have increased slightly while also losing points, threes, assists, and a little bit of steals.

Of course, I realize he was probably trying to sell high on Millsap and Matthews (and Turkoglu) and buy low on Gay (and hope that Walker keeps it up through his rookie season). That said, Gay’s FT% should come up, and hopefully his other stats do as well, and Matthews is looking like he’s going to cool off a bit recently. If you only look at the last 2 weeks of stats, the trade gets slightly closer, but still only positive in 2 categories. If Matthews continues to drop and Millsap dips a bit as well, then you probably come out about even at the end of the season.

There’s definitely more potential with the guys that he got, but the risk is whether Ibaka and Walker (IbakaWalka) can deliver on that potential.

That’s a pretty even trade, and while Hawes’s stats for the season are better, he hasn’t been quite as good after straining his back. You’d mainly gain in the Big Ball categories + Double Doubles with Hawes – though Conley still has the edge in Points. Given that you already have a bunch of big men with bad FT%s, I’d stick with Conley since he matches up with the categories that Lowry is dominating and since Lowry is your best player, I’d say go with that.

Smith is a career 67% shooter, so it might get better than it is right now, but that’s probably his max. I would expect Teague to come up to closer to 80%.

If I had either of them, I’d be holding tight like they were fistfuls of money. Unless ATL makes a trade or something, I’d expect good numbers from them for the rest of the season.

Like to get your take on a comparison question.  Given both have warts and neither is a stud, would you prefer to own Hawes or Dalembert over the long term this season?  Both seem to be getting minutes and playing well with little or no competition for minutes on their respective rosters.  Hawes is slightly better re: boards and dimes so far but both reside inside the top 50 on the Player Rater.  Thanks.

And of course after you read this too…

http://givemetherock.com/2012/01/18/what-to-expect-from-baron-davis-on-the-knicks/ 

Right? 

Right…

I’m about 2.2 SDs above the mean in rebounds, so I’m looking to trade Varejao. Could you rank these targets? Brand, Batum, George. I want to improve my %s, blocks, assists, and/or 3s. Any other names would be helpful, if you have any ideas.

A lot of it is going to depend on the specific points allocation of your league, but Jon Leuer can probably be dropped at this point. As Nels said, Morrow will likely have the most value going forward out of the guys you mentioned (although he lost his starting job in the Nets last game, so watch that) with Ayon as a possible sleeper candidate. 

C.J. Watsons’ value will only last as long as Rose it out, while Miles’ got some extra run in the Jazz game because it was a blowout. 

Have to say I think you’re right.  Absent the injuries, Hawes seems like the preference but there’s the rub:  You wonder if the back and Achilles end up degrading him a bit…say he over-rotates coming back and tweaks something else.  Interestingly, 76ers and Rockets each have 52 games left, however, Philly plays 16 vs. upper echelon defenses (for the sake of an argument, Miami, Orlando, Chicago, Lakers, Memphis, Spurs).  Houston plays those teams 11 times which strikes me as a big difference in terms of strength of schedule that favors Dalembert.  Good stuff, thanks for the follow-on!

Thoughts on this trade guys – Anderson for Rubio.

I’m solid in 3′s and uncompetitive in assists. This will give him a definite point in 3′s every week and bring me back into the assist mix.

It’s close, but I’d probably rate Batum slightly over Paul, especially with the way he’s been playing recently. Both have similar stats so far this season, but Batum is going to get you slightly more blocks, while George will give you slightly more assists. Either would be good value in a trade for Varejao in my opinion. Brand is playing so badly at the moment I think you’d be overpaying for him with Varejao.

In terms of those cats you mentioned, Kyrie Irving and Hedo Turkoglu are other names that come up near the top of our rater.

Blake Griffin is a frustrating player to own for fantasy basketball purposes. I have Durant and Dirk so I’d like to build my team around the percentages. But nooooo Mr. Griffin is making that impossible. Who are some players to target in a dynasty format that have a high percentage chance of eclipsing Griffin’s fantasy value down the road?

ss

9 cat roto. should i drop nate robinson for dorell wright?

You lose out on #1, Dirk (like his team) has been struggling. #2 is very tempting, but the question is can you afford to lose Josh in the process? My idea would be to pair Rose with a low-end or underperforming guy like Haslem/Biedrins/Frye in exchange for a 2nd or 3rd round value guy + a 7th to 8th round value guy.

You will be taking an overall loss of value as things stand. Rubio is still blooming while Ryan has just exploded onto the fantasy limelight. But then again, team NEEDS tend to create a tilt in value. So based on your needs they are “closer in value”. The only way to check is if you actually calculate how dominant in 3s your team would be without Anderson (who is clearly that cat’s cornerstone right now). That would be a necessary first step, in my opinion, before moving on.

Since you’re punting assists you can drop Ramon Sessions for Chandler Parsons, who does a bit of everything.

Shumpert’s biggest asset in fantasy is his steals contributions. Can your team live without those picked pockets? Okur’s value will plummet when Brook Lopez returns. Richardson is just awful and needs to prove that he can be consistent. Hold Shumpert for now.

14 team h2h. usual 9-cat plus AST/TO, rebs are split
I get:Dirk,DeAndre
I give: Tyson Chandler, Ryan Anderson
should i pull the trigger?
my team:
kidd,terry,lebron,david lee,chandler,hawes,anderson,billups,zbo,baron davis,thompson,garcia

Like Erik said, the two trades are decent, but I’m not quite sure either works great for you. If I remember correctly, the goal was to trade Rose to get bigger to complete better in boards/blocks. Trade 2 would actually make your team smaller by shipping off Smith. And in trade 1, you’d be paying a lot for the underperforming Dirk.  

There is also James Johnson, who took over the starting job from Rasual Butler last night for the Raptors. In was horrible in the game, but as long as he keeps the starting job, he should be a solid board/steal/block contributor.

Other lower end options include Markieff Morris, who recently got the starting job over Channing Frye for the Suns. I also really like Francisco Garcia as long as he keeps seeing 25+ minutes a game. He’s one of the few guys in the league who has potential 1 three/1 steal/1 block potential. 

Always a scary type of injury, but it looks like there’s good news with Batum’s eye. It’s nothing serious, could be back for the Blazer’s next game.